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Description:
Weather interest group covering the Australasian and Pacific regions. Climatology, current weather, past weather, severe weather ...... all kinds of weather. A wide range of atmospheric sciences. Enthusiasts and professionals welcome!
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Weird El Nino
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Hi All,
I'm wondering is someone could explain this weird el nino in simple
terms?
Someone somewhere else said the other day that the warming in
America's was normal El Nino; but it was still normal current here?
Please explain....
Cheers
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Rain northern NSW ! [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
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Good to see the rain falling where it's really needed :-).
Don't have the numbers handy, but some of the sites in this region must be getting within striking distance of 3000mm for the year.
Blair
______________________________ __________
...Sent: Friday, 6 November 2009 9:46 PM
To: austpacwx@googlegroups.com... more »
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Rain northern NSW !
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Hi all.
Some whopping rainfall totals around the Coffs Harbour district this evening.....227mm since 0900 and near 120mm between 2000 and 2100, added to this total 99mm fell to 0900...thats 312mm today.....and I was happy with 10mm on the weekend from a storm....!!!,, regards Clyve H Trentham Vic
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Fw: Spring Bloom in New Zealand Waters
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Spring Bloom in New Zealand WatersHello Everyone
This is interesting. Such minute organisms can help the balance of our atmosphere.
Judy
----- Original Message ----- ...To: sup...@iinet.net.au Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 2:14 AM
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Spring Bloom in New Zealand Waters
Wed, 04 Nov 2009 23:00:00 -0600... more »
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Storms SE QLD
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Hi all.
Some big slow moving storms over southeast QLD this evening would not be surprised to see the odd fall near 100mm+ before its all finished, the cells are slow moving and appear to spring up along outflow boundaries, a couple also appear quasi stationary....Clyve H
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a little off topic
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Hi All,
Following on from David's comments in Aug about higher than average
temperatures and a wet September, an interesting observation in
Keilor.
There seems to be an explosion of skinks here, as well as for the
first time ever, a bite from a march fly.
Really small changes, and good to see that type of reptile; hopefully... more »
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Will It Rain Or Not
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Hi All
I am watching the Terry Hills Radar and the cloud seems to be coming from the east to the west????
The cat is yowling and generally being very troublesome.............. She really is a good indicator of approaching weather.
I wonder if we are going to get a tremendous downpour or nothing.... more »
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David Jones/Blair... is this odd? [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
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There are two explanations for this (which are intertwined). The first is this climate model includes greenhouse gases in its seasonal forecasts, and every year that goes by this introduces a warming of (about) 0.015C. Over the climatology period of this model it now means that regardless of the status of El Nino/La Nina you have an expectation that anomalies will be significantly positive.... more »
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David Jones/Blair... is this odd?
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Hi David and/or Blair,
I noticed something that really caught my eye before. EC's forecast for NDJ has very high probabilities of warm 2m temp anomalies over almost all the tropics/subtropics of the planet. The example I looked at is attached. So I decided to check some more and found this was also reflected in the upper 1/3rd of the prob distribution as well as the highest 20% of the distribution (huge expanse of warm temps). This continues out to all lead times and seems to even spread with time.... more »
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Upcoming southern Oz heatwave
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The prospect of a persistent strong heatwave for southern states next week looks interesting. Current progs suggest max's near or in the 40's in NW Vic and southern inland SA... mid 30's in southern Vic. These are around 5C above Nov decile 9 max temps... but things could obviously change between now and then (and I hope for the southerners' sakes, it does).... more »
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