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Mike Manning  
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 More options May 8, 8:19 am
From: "Mike Manning" <weather...@optusnet.com.au>
Date: Thu, 8 May 2008 08:19:38 +1000
Local: Thurs, May 8 2008 8:19 am
Subject: Cyclone Nargis

Hi all, surprised no one has mentioned Cyclone Nargis as it looks to be one of the worse disasters since the 2004 Tsunami! Thousands are reported dead and reports are saying the death toll could be as many as 100,000 with 22,000 already confirmed dead! The cat 3 cyclone slammed into one of the poorest parts of the world at Burma which produces some of the worlds rice crops... emergency supplies have begun to be flown in however this will only cover the first few weeks.. such a sad thing to have happen, and the cyclone formed rather early in their cyclone season too :(

Mike


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Tony Langdon  
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 More options May 8, 8:29 am
From: Tony Langdon <vk3...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 08 May 2008 08:29:03 +1000
Local: Thurs, May 8 2008 8:29 am
Subject: Re: [austpacwx] Cyclone Nargis
At 08:19 AM 5/8/2008, you wrote:

>Hi all, surprised no one has mentioned Cyclone Nargis as it looks to
>be one of the worse disasters since the 2004 Tsunami! Thousands are
>reported dead and reports are saying the death toll could be as many
>as 100,000 with 22,000 already confirmed dead! The cat 3 cyclone
>slammed into one of the poorest parts of the world at Burma which
>produces some of the worlds rice crops... emergency supplies have
>begun to be flown in however this will only cover the first few
>weeks.. such a sad thing to have happen, and the cyclone formed
>rather early in their cyclone season too :(

Yes, that one looks nasty. :(  The Age down here is now reporting the
100,000 figure, which first came to light yesterday.  I have been
keeping up with the news.  The Burmese Government aren't making it
easy for aid to get through either. :(

73 de VK3JED
http://vkradio.com


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Clyve Herbert  
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 More options May 8, 10:27 am
From: "Clyve Herbert" <mes...@iprimus.com.au>
Date: Thu, 8 May 2008 10:27:41 +1000
Local: Thurs, May 8 2008 10:27 am
Subject: Re: [austpacwx] Re: Cyclone Nargis
Was watching the Bay of Bengal last week and there was a lot of disorganised
deep convection, the area looked 'primed'....However listened to a recording
of the Rangoon B.O.M interview who had posted a warning 48 hours prior to
landfall,  however the chap being interview definitely played down the
expected strength to about 80 to 100kph and weakening. Now there are some
very important issued with this cyclone first it drove a storm surge ahead
of the centre so warm sea surface temps are forced inland through the delta
region allowing the central core to keep feeding off near saturated surface
air thus allowing the potential for the cyclone to maintain strength further
inland, looking at the sat pics suspect better than cat 3.  The appalling
death toll is almost unprecedented but according to eye witnesses sea levels
rose 12 to 20 feet ! and flowed tens of kilometres inland from the shore
line. Its apparent the storm surge preceded the cyclone core so the poor
people are forced to the roof tops...the wind did the rest....It makes my
blood boil to see what some of these despot military juntas will do to
maintain their pathetic methods of rule....regards Clyve H


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Gavin O'Brien  
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 More options May 8, 9:27 pm
From: Gavin O'Brien <mrcenterpri...@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 8 May 2008 21:27:07 +1000
Local: Thurs, May 8 2008 9:27 pm
Subject: RE: [austpacwx] Re: Cyclone Nargis

Hi Clyve and other list members .I saw it on the JTCWC site and thought it was going to be big but nowhere near as destructive as it has been.I certainly agree with your comments.Some comments were made that the Burmese Government did not issue warnings?Can anone on the List confirm that story?
Also watching the volcanic eruption in Chile but not much S O 2 in this eruption which seems to be as big as the 1991 Pinatubo show.Not likely to impact the weather but it should be interesting to see if the pume reaches us.In 1991 Cerro Hudson  put up a very big signature around the time of the Pinatubo explosions, confusing the issue about the source of the weid atomospheric effects.
Gavin, Ayr

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