Hi Clyve and other list members .I saw it on the JTCWC site and thought it was going to be big but nowhere near as destructive as it has been.I certainly agree with your comments.Some comments were made that the Burmese Government did not issue warnings?Can anone on the List confirm that story?
Also watching the volcanic eruption in Chile but not much S O 2 in this eruption which seems to be as big as the 1991 Pinatubo show.Not likely to impact the weather but it should be interesting to see if the pume reaches us.In 1991 Cerro Hudson put up a very big signature around the time of the Pinatubo explosions, confusing the issue about the source of the weid atomospheric effects.
Gavin, Ayr
> From: mes
...@iprimus.com.au
> To: austpacwx@googlegroups.com
> Subject: [austpacwx] Re: Cyclone Nargis
> Date: Thu, 8 May 2008 10:27:41 +1000
> Was watching the Bay of Bengal last week and there was a lot of disorganised
> deep convection, the area looked 'primed'....However listened to a recording
> of the Rangoon B.O.M interview who had posted a warning 48 hours prior to
> landfall, however the chap being interview definitely played down the
> expected strength to about 80 to 100kph and weakening. Now there are some
> very important issued with this cyclone first it drove a storm surge ahead
> of the centre so warm sea surface temps are forced inland through the delta
> region allowing the central core to keep feeding off near saturated surface
> air thus allowing the potential for the cyclone to maintain strength further
> inland, looking at the sat pics suspect better than cat 3. The appalling
> death toll is almost unprecedented but according to eye witnesses sea levels
> rose 12 to 20 feet ! and flowed tens of kilometres inland from the shore
> line. Its apparent the storm surge preceded the cyclone core so the poor
> people are forced to the roof tops...the wind did the rest....It makes my
> blood boil to see what some of these despot military juntas will do to
> maintain their pathetic methods of rule....regards Clyve H
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Tony Langdon" <vk3...@gmail.com>
> To: <austpacwx@googlegroups.com>
> Sent: Thursday, May 08, 2008 8:29 AM
> Subject: [austpacwx] Re: Cyclone Nargis
> > At 08:19 AM 5/8/2008, you wrote:
> > >Hi all, surprised no one has mentioned Cyclone Nargis as it looks to
> > >be one of the worse disasters since the 2004 Tsunami! Thousands are
> > >reported dead and reports are saying the death toll could be as many
> > >as 100,000 with 22,000 already confirmed dead! The cat 3 cyclone
> > >slammed into one of the poorest parts of the world at Burma which
> > >produces some of the worlds rice crops... emergency supplies have
> > >begun to be flown in however this will only cover the first few
> > >weeks.. such a sad thing to have happen, and the cyclone formed
> > >rather early in their cyclone season too :(
> > Yes, that one looks nasty. :( The Age down here is now reporting the
> > 100,000 figure, which first came to light yesterday. I have been
> > keeping up with the news. The Burmese Government aren't making it
> > easy for aid to get through either. :(
> > 73 de VK3JED
> > http://vkradio.com
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