Gmail Calendar Documents Reader Web more »
Recently Visited Groups | Help | Sign in
Google Groups Home
austpacwx
Home
Pages
Files
About this group
Apply for group membership
David Jones/Blair... is this odd?
Options
There are currently too many topics in this group that display first. To make this topic appear first, remove this option from another topic.
There was an error processing your request. Please try again.
flag
   1 message - Collapse all  -  Translate all to Translated (View all originals)
The group you are posting to is a Usenet group. Messages posted to this group will make your email address visible to anyone on the Internet.
Your reply message has not been sent.
Your post was successful
 
From:
To:
Cc:
Followup To:
Add Cc | Add Followup-to | Edit Subject
Subject:
Validation:
For verification purposes please type the characters you see in the picture below or the numbers you hear by clicking the accessibility icon. Listen and type the numbers you hear
 
Ken Kato  
View profile  
 More options Nov 4, 1:32 am
From: Ken Kato <kka...@hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 00:32:59 +1000
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 1:32 am
Subject: David Jones/Blair... is this odd?
Reply | Reply to author | Forward | Print | Individual message | Show original | Report this message | Find messages by this author

Hi David and/or Blair,

I noticed something that really caught my eye before. EC's forecast for NDJ has very high probabilities of warm 2m temp anomalies over almost all the tropics/subtropics of the planet. The example I looked at is attached. So I decided to check some more and found this was also reflected in the upper 1/3rd of the prob distribution as well as the highest 20% of the distribution (huge expanse of warm temps). This continues out to all lead times and seems to even spread with time.

The multimodel Eurosip shows the same thing. The expanse of these anomalies also shows up well on IRI's multimodel forecast for NDJ (attached). UK, JMA & CFS (which was only initialised 2 days ago) seem to be less dramatic about the whole thing. Does the widespread nature of these anomalies seem a bit odd to you?

Ken.

  4th Nov 09 - EC seasonal forecast for NDJ.gif
53K Download

  4th Nov 09 - IRI temperature anomaly probabilities for NDJ.gif
74K Download

    Reply    Reply to author    Forward  
You must Sign in before you can post messages.
To post a message you must first join this group.
Please update your nickname on the subscription settings page before posting.
You do not have the permission required to post.
End of messages
« Back to Discussions « Newer topic     Older topic »

Create a group - Google Groups - Google Home - Terms of Service - Privacy Policy
©2009 Google